Sports Trading Card Price Tracker We talk a lot about price movement of single cards and sports trading card boxes on The Sports Card Show Podcast. Each month we'll pick some hot items in the sports card world and monitor the price action over the month. Sometimes we make prediction on if the price is going to go up or down.
User Rating:  / 1
Matt Cain flirted with a perfect game before he actually threw one when he tossed 9 innings of 1 hit baseball (with no walks) against the Pittsburgh Pirates on April 13. Fast forward 2 months later and one of the games most consistent pitchers made San Francisco (and MLB) history when he threw a perfect game against the Houston Astros on June 13, 2012.

Seems like everyone wants a piece of the perfect game, I've even heard of a bat company making exactly 2012 replica bats with Matt Cain's face on them to re-sell. I'm sure the streets after home games will be filled with guys selling bootleg Matt Cain Perfect Game items for the rest of the season too. And for as long as eBay has been around - Perfect Games/No Hitters have always been when savvy sellers unload cards to collectors. Human nature is somewhat tilted towards buying things that are hot (or in demand) and not buying things that are cold (or out of demand). This is obviously the reverse logic if you're trying to save money, but the sellers who part with Cain's cards during his perfect game "Honeymoon" period, are often taking advantage of a short term boost in demand/price.

You can see by the graph and price data from eBay over the last 6 months, Cain's 2002 Bowman Chrome Draft Picks rookie card wasn't selling at super high prices despite having an All-Star like season before the perfect game. However, once he threw the perfect game on June 13th, his cards took off like a rocket, peaking at around $26 dollars ... or over $20 dollars more than most were selling for pre-prefect game.

Naturally a card that isn't all that particularly rare selling for $15+ dollars starts to draw more sellers to the market. At the same time, buyers excitement for a perfect game diminishes as the news cycle rolls over (which included a compelling NBA Finals match-up between LeBron James and Kevin Durant). Matt Cain's 2002 Bowman Chrome Draft Picks RC has now established a very healthy downtrend on eBay, and I expect this card to fall back into the $5 - $7 range here soon.

2002 Bowman Chrome Draft Picks Matt Cain Rookie Card
I expect more collectors will recognize Matt Cain cards because of his perfect game, and he is having a very good career, but collectors could ignore his cards much like they were before the perfection as time passes.
2002 Matt Cain Bowman Chrome Draft Picks RC Price Graph

Pre-Perfect Game
1/15/2012 $3.14
2/5/2012 $4.49
3/9/2012 $5.50
4/30/2012 $3.50
5/4/2012 $2.25
5/7/2012 $2.91

Day Of Perfect Game
6/13/2012 $12.00
6/13/2012 $13.49
6/13/2012 $15.00
6/13/2012 $25.99
6/13/2012 $19.99
6/13/2012 $17.99

After Perfect Game
6/14/2012 $11.99
6/14/2012 $17.99
6/15/2012 $20.00
6/15/2012 $15.50
6/15/2012 $14.95
6/15/2012 $12.95
6/16/2012 $14.38
6/17/2012 $15.50
6/17/2012 $10.50
6/17/2012 $12.00
6/18/2012 $9.50

Mixture of Buy It Now and Auction Data. Shipping is NOT Counted. This was for raw (or un-graded) copies of Matt Cain's
2002 Bowman Chrome Draft Picks #BDP25 rookie card sold on from January 1 - 6/18/2012

Price Tracker Blog Sports Card Price Tracker Blog

{module 60}

 


 

User Rating:  / 3

How lucky do Colts fans have it? After a really bad season in 2011 because Peyton Manning was hurt, they get the #1 pick and land a new QB!! Sure, they probably are still rebuilding, but considering Andy Dalton (and others) turned a rather horrible Bengals team into a playoff participant - you never know what Andrew Luck might mean to the Indianapolis Colts this season.

Speaking of how much Andrew Luck means to someone, collectors are certainly already banking on this young man to be the next Peyton Manning. While his autographs come in an era that makes it difficult to compare to Peyton's 1998 Contenders Auto, the price people are willing to pay early on for his autographs on eBay is pretty high for Andrew Luck because of all the hype he got coming out of Stanford.

While the slew of 2012 Football Card releases have yet to start rolling out, one of the earliest sets of the year is 2012 Bowman Signature Football. Within this set, you'll find a few different Andrew Luck autographs. During the 1st month of sales - I found the best price data on eBay was for the refractor autograph #BCRA-AL pictured to the right. I wanted to look at one of Andrew Luck's 1st major releases and see how the price went up/down just based purely on collectors supply/demand - as Luck has only played with the team on the practice field.

2012 Bowman Signature Andrew Luck Autograph Refractor Card
You'll notice on the graph below that the price has faded a bit during the first month, and has fluctuated, so there were certainly good times to buy/sell this card. My advice going forward on this card will be one of caution for buyers because I just recently did a piece where I covered Bryce Harper's Bowman Autograph card, and found the price continued to decline as more & more sets came out with his autographs. The same thing could happen to Andrew Luck, as Panini, Topps, and Upper Deck will be rolling out sets all season long with Luck's autograph. Because of this, even if Andrew Luck plays really well in 2012, I don't see much up-side with this card. You can also compare what Cam Newton's autograph RC sell on eBay to Luck's to get a base comparison for what collectors will pay for a #1 pick rookie QB who has an amazing season. Either way, it's a nice card, but a very risky buy at the current price levels because he hasn't played yet & more collectible sports card releases are coming.
2012 Bowman Signature Andrew Luck Refractor Autograph Price Graph
  • 5/31 $304.99
  • 6/3 $305
  • 6/4 $275.55
  • 6/5 $305
  • 6/5 $258
  • 6/5 $212.50
  • 6/11 $246.50
  • 6/14 $300
  • 6/15 $233.50
  • 6/17 $256
  • 6/17 $255

 

 

Completed Auctions on eBay for the first few weeks of release.

Price Tracker Blog Sports Card Price Tracker Blog


User Rating:  / 1
Depending on what website you visit, Jose Altuve height is between 5' 5" to 5' 7" ... but what doesn't change is his high batting average and ability to get on base for the Houston Astros this season. Altuve has been getting lots of attention for being the shortest player in the MLB, but his play on the field lately has taken his cards to new heights.

Signed as an international free agent, Jose Altuve has been developing his skills in the minor leagues since 2007. With all that experience, he still is only 22 years old - and has proven that he might become a solid MLB player. All this has gotten the attention of collectors and especially Houston Astros fans. One of his most notable cards to date is his 2010 Bowman Chrome Blue Refractor serial numbered to just 150 copies. I chose to look at the price movement of this card because I was able to find good sales data going back almost 1 year. Note that there are some gaps in the data, but I think this will give you a good idea of how his prices have risen over that last few months. You can imagine that the base version, and certainly all his other parallel cards from this set have risen over the last 3 months as well.

As you can see in the price graph, Jose Altuve actually made his MLB Debut in late 2011 ... and didn't play too poorly, but a .276 AVG with little power potential is not going to light your cards on fire. However, you can see once the 2012 season started, and he got his average into the high .300's people really started to take notice. Now that he's into his 3rd month of playing All-Star level baseball, you see people really start to bid up on his rare Bowman Chrome RC's. The last sale was at $46.23 - and at the time of writing this, there were no Blue Refractor Jose Altuve Bowman Chrome cards for sale on eBay.

2010 Bowman Chrome Jose Altuve Blue Refractor #/150
2010 Bowman Chrome Jose Altuve Bowman Chrome Blue Refractor #/150 Price Graph 2010 Bowman Chrome #BCP137
Blue Refractor #/150
Complete Sales On eBay
  • 6/14/2011 $19.85
  • 7/25/2011 $21.56
  • 8/7/2011 $26.00
  • 8/31/2011 $20.00
  • 9/21/2011 $9.65
  • 12/23/2011 $12.69
  • 3/15/2012 $12.99
  • 4/2/2012 $12.59
  • 5/16/2012 $22.72
  • 6/11/2012 $46.23
It's very difficult to know where this card goes the rest of the season. Altuve is playing at an ultra high level for a bad team - so that sometimes takes the pressure off because he is one of the few bright spots for Astros fans this season. Being the shortest player in the game will get Altuve more fans and more attention from collectors similar to Spud Webb and other 'short' athletes. If I was an owner of this card (or another rare cards of his) I would probably sell at some point this season because I feel his hype is about to swell. If you think he's going to be a future HOF, you can probably re-buy at another point in his career when the hype wears off and the attention is on another group of prospects. Either way, if you bought and held his cards up to this point, your investment has done pretty well.

Price Tracker Blog Sports Card Price Tracker Blog

{module 60}