Hangers are Bangers: The Math Proof Behind the 2025-26 Topps Chrome Hype

Date Published

December 27, 2025

In the sports card hobby, "Hangers are Bangers" is a phrase often yelled during box breaks, usually following a lucky pull.

But for the 2025-26 Topps Chrome NBA release, it’s no longer just a catchy slogan—it is a mathematical fact.

>For Sale: Chrome Value Boxes

Thanks to a deep-dive analysis by @WaxMetrix, we now have the numbers to prove that the humble $20 hanger box is arguably the smartest way to play this massive release. 

MSRP $20 Hanger Box

To understand why, you have to look at what @WaxMetrix calls the “Cost Per Rare Hit.”

A "rare hit" is defined as any card numbered /50 or less, or a case-hit insert. 

The value in retail is staggering.

Hangers: One rare hit costs an average of $179
Fanatics Mega Boxes: One rare hit costs an ave of $376
Mega Boxes: One rare hit costs an average of $390
Value Boxes: One rare hit costs an average of $441
Breakers Delight: One rare hit costs an average of $1,483
Hobby Boxes: One rare hit costs an average of $1,725
Jumbo Boxes: One rare hit costs an average of
 $2,631

In simpler terms, for the price of one single Hobby box, you could buy 32 Hangers.

According to @WaxMetrix the wildest stat in this entire breakdown: an average case of Hangers delivers just one fewer rare hit than an average case of Breaker’s Delight... at only 6.4% of the cost.

Whether you’re a parent buying a gift or a serious investor, the data is clear: the most expensive box isn't always the best one. 

If you see a Hanger on a shelf, grab it—the math is on your side.

>2025-26 Topps Chrome Cooper Flagg Checklist

Hangers are Bangers: The Mathematical Proof Behind the 2025-26 Topps Chrome Hype

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Grayson Bryce-Thompson

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